Updates and Lessons from AI Forecasting
Likely Human
Earlier this year, my research group commissioned 6 questions [https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=JSAI] for professional forecasters to predict about AI. Broadly speaking, 2 were on geopolitical aspects of AI and 4 were on future capabilities: * Geopolitical: * How much larger or smaller will the largest Chinese ML experiment be compared to the largest U.S. ML experiment, as measured by amount of compute used? * How much computing power will have been
The Verdict
ClassificationLikely Human
ConfidenceHigh confidence
Analyzedtext
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